At the Closing Ceremony of the World Smart Manufacturing Conference, Kevin Kelly, founding editor of Wired, made a keynote speech titled "Inevitability" and made basic judgments on the seven major trends of technological development in the next 25 years. He believes that many will be in the future. The inevitable thing is that we cannot predict and predict. For example, technology is biased. However, we must understand the direction of technology, that is, some major trends in the next 25 years.
1. Virtual reality and interaction
Another trend is that humans need more exchanges with products.
Currently there are two kinds of virtual reality technologies on the market. Of course, these two technologies will also evolve. One is immersive virtual reality and the other is mixed virtual reality (MR).
Today, when we talk to the Internet, we don't just use it as a tool. We even treat it as a target of conversation. This is an important change in our thinking. Therefore, our company and organization must be intelligent companies to do smart production. The culture of the company needs to be changed and the company itself needs to change its understanding.
When it comes to interaction, Kevin Kelly believes that the future of virtual reality will become the most social media among all social media, because it can achieve the mutual experience between people. What virtual reality brings to people is not knowledge but experience. Let us evolve from knowledge Internet to experience Internet. This is the magic of virtual reality.
What virtual reality brings is not knowledge, but experience.
2. Artificial Intelligence and Cognition
One of the most important technological trends is artificial intelligence, a technology that senses and makes products more intelligent.
Artificial intelligence has already arrived, but you do not feel it.
We can achieve artificial intelligence through two steps. The first is to develop an artificial intelligence system that is different from human thinking. The second is to use these systems and human intelligence to solve these problems together. This process is the process of proving that we are not smart centers, and the way of thinking is really varied.
The wealth engine of the new economy is the ability to think creatively while engaging with society. A person who is not in touch with society may have different ideas from ordinary people, but if he always receives information from all aspects, it is difficult to have creative ideas. Some artificial intelligence systems may not be smart or responsive to humans, but may have different ideas. This is the value.
The competitive advantage of future manufacturing is not to use artificial intelligence, because everyone will use artificial intelligence, and the competitive advantage lies in doing things with artificial intelligence systems, and what is different from others. For manufacturing companies, the biggest challenge is to establish production processes and corporate culture that are commensurate with artificial intelligence.
3. On-demand economy
Another trend of future technological development is the dilution of property ownership.
Uber is the largest taxi company in the world but does not own a car; Alibaba is the world's largest retail company but does not have its own department store. If people want instant access to services, the right to use is more important than ownership. This is We see a trend. When we need a product, we don't have to go to production or buy it. We can order or rent it with all content providers or owners, and get what we want by ordering and renting. This shift is of great significance to the manufacturing industry. For example, consumers only use cars rather than own cars, which will have a big impact on the market. Calculations show that only one-sixth of the cars in the city are really necessary.
Therefore, on-demand economy is the future trend. Traffic will be another effective market area for ordering, in addition to 3D printing and more.
4. Sharing the economy
Sharing the economy is growing, this is not a rumor, and this economic form is still only in the initial stage, there are still many areas to be developed, and they can increase their value by sharing the economy.
What I mean by sharing is not only about cars, but there are many things that can be shared collaboratively to share things that can be shared but not yet shared, such as clothes and tasks. By sharing, we can make our entire community more powerful and powerful. We are only now sharing the beginning of the economy and we are not at the peak. Sharing is not just about cars, but more about cooperation and working together.
We will have more and more technology to achieve more extensive cooperation among millions of people, such as blockchain technology.
5. Screen reading
Flowing, short-term screen-reading future trends, so authenticity will become a scarce resource.
Screen reading is also a trend in the future. The screen is ubiquitous. You can see the screen behind the vehicle. You can see the screen above the building. You can use the screen for each page of the book. While we are using the screen to browse information, the screen is also reviewing us. The software will monitor, analyze the user's browsing content, what content to attract the user's attention, and even perceive the user's emotions. Now that there are software that can recognize 28 emotions of the user, such as whether the user is confused, upset, overwhelmed, interested or disliked, the software can then make changes to the content based on the user's reaction. Just as someone speaks to you, the content of the conversation will be adjusted according to the changes in the expression on your face.
In the future, we can think about the screen-related culture. This will be a different culture than paper. At the same time, getting the authenticity from the screen will be more difficult and challenging, but this is the characteristics of the screen culture and the data flow is even greater.
6. Data flow
All businesses are data services, and business development is the flow of data.
The product is solidified and the process of producing the product is fluid. No matter what industry you are in, the future is a mobile data industry. Smart manufacturing means that no matter what product you produce, you must become a software company, dealing with data, tracking data, understanding customer data, and data-centricity. Many large Internet companies realize that data is actually more valuable than the customer itself.
7. Data tracking
In the virtual world, we tend to track each other's data far more than we do in the real world.
Our trajectories, browsing content and brain activity, ubiquitous data tracking help those virtual reality technology companies build their infrastructure. Your historical data is important, and the same kind of personalized diagnosis will change with the appearance and analysis of new data. People are also tracking our data. Our friends are tracking our data. This is one of Wechat's functions.
Complete personalization means complete transparency. You need to be open to data tracking. On the contrary, you cannot get personalized products and services. It is all that one can make choices. Is it willing to accept this? This kind of data tracking means that you will get personalized service.
In the future, we can set the level of privacy and provide people with choices. If they are open enough, they will slide the level in the direction of transparency, and vice versa.
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