2017, blockchain has become the same hot word as AI, 2018, where is the blockchain offer going?
There are 12 predictions about the blockchain.
1 ray of light will become bleak
Ripple's business is good, but it doesn't actually require a protocol token. There are many other protocols (including those with high market valuations) that do not require tokens.
These will be gradually eliminated by the market.
Ruibo will be a valuable company because it provides services, but Ripple will not be a valuable agreement. The multiple of the agreement is much higher.
2 lightning network will face a major test
If the Lightning Network (a decentralized system) works, Bitcoin will regain its victory as the world's default encrypted virtual currency, but if the lightning network fails, Bitcoin will fall sharply, and finally it is just a currency. If that happens, Bitcoin cash will become a real bitcoin.
This is a probability problem.
3 privacy war kicked off
When people realize the difference between pseudonyms and anonymity, the competition between “anonymous†currencies will intensify. For example, Zcash is the first cryptocurrency that does not require permission;
Monroe uses RingCT (ring encryption) anonymous technology, which seems to be the choice of the dark network;
Dash's marketing ability is very strong, but there are many other problems;
The PIVX coin team is very interesting, the trading system is very responsive, and can be used in conjunction with the social application Slack.
I predict that one or two of these coins will be considered by the mainstream media as the next generation of bitcoin. There are many factors that can stand out as winners, but I think it depends on who has a stronger sense of security. But this will only be known after several competitions.
4 data access interface market will start
The data access interface market, which is currently dominated by companies such as Aragon, Colonity, Distack0x and DAOStack, will soon introduce some proof-of-concept data access interfaces.
The metrics that these companies make in setting time, user base, activity type/running data access interfaces, etc. will be interesting.
There are huge opportunities in these agreements, although the vision for this market may be far ahead of technology.
If there are about 50 legal projects piloted in 2018, then the industry will grow at a rapid rate.
5 more scattered artificial intelligence startups
Last month, blockchain-based artificial intelligence service startup SingularityNet received $36 million in financing through ICO in 60 seconds. After receiving an investor’s $360 million value request, the company set a cap of $36 million. More ICOs like this will appear later.
Because investment is always chasing each other, we will see many people leaving high-paying artificial intelligence positions in large technology companies like Google and Facebook, and instead investing in hundreds of millions of dollars under the next encrypted artificial intelligence protocol. Salary jobs.
We will see that we may see 10 encrypted artificial intelligence ICOs, at least $50 million.
6 Whether Ethereum will become the standard is still uncertain
As we all know, the CryptoKitties, based on the Ethereum platform, has crashed Ethereum. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin is also aware of this and is very aware of the challenges he and his team face.
A few weeks ago, I had the privilege of chatting with Buterin and Ethereum developer Vlad Zamfir. Although I think the praise of Vitalik may be overstated, I did leave a deep impression on the conversation between us. These two people are very thoughtful and good at expression, open-minded and talented. It takes a lot of work to get Ethereum to handle the scale and speed of the community, but these two people can do it because they are smart enough and modest.
In view of the problems faced by Ethereum, even if other new blockchains (such as NEM, QTUM, EOS or AION) can't surpass the Ethereum platform, there is room to narrow the gap between them. If any of these platforms can be built into more than 100 projects, it will become a competitor of Ethereum. If not, then Ethereum will remain in the lead.
7 interoperability agreement is still immature
I support new players entering the market like Polkadot, Cosmos, and like Lamden and Metronome, which will make trading and information exchange between different blockchains possible.
But I think they will take some time to really land.
In the long run, they will create a world of multi-blockchains.
But in the short term, they will increase the load on key blockchains like Ethereum and Bitcoin, so they won't get much support from these communities.
I hope they will be low-key for the time being.
There will be more new blockchain non-profit organizations outside of 8Crypto Valleys
I travel to the “Crypto Valley†in Zug, Switzerland every quarter. I am a member of the Crypto Explorers Association.
In places like Oman and Panama, the government has contacted us and they want to establish Crypto Valleys in them and use the Crypto Explorers Association to promote the world.
They studied what Zug did in driving innovation and creating jobs, and they wanted to follow suit.
This makes me realize that the governments in the second and third tiers regard blockchain/encryption as a way of “beyond†the first-tier economies, as Estonia did in the 1990s, and eventually went straight to digitalization. First country.
Some of them may be very respectful of the blockchain and may become the location of the new Crypto Valleys. Two or three of them will succeed. I don't mean Dubai, Singapore, Tel Aviv or Berlin. I mean some unexpected places, such as Bratislava, Florianópolis, Panama City. And Muscat et al.
9 encryption will become a general trend
Three of the top ten retail brokers in the US will allow customers to purchase 1-5 cryptocurrencies directly from their websites, just as people buy stocks and funds today.
Coinbase is currently the most popular new encryption user exchange platform, currently only supports four currencies. Unless it wants to lose market share, it needs to improve its infrastructure and start planning a plan to capture market share.
10ICO will become mainstream
In February or at the latest in March, we will see the first legal ICO on the crowdfunding website Indiegogo. I expect that during the year, we will see at least nine more ICOs; the total number of ICOs in 2018 will reach 10.
11 reverse ICOS will intensify
Kik, the mobile phone address book social software, launched the first reverse ICO, and now the streaming live broadcast service YouNow is about to launch one.
I think we will see at least 15-20 reverse ICOs in 2018.
“Reverse ICO†means that existing companies decentralize their own power and issue tokens to their members to stimulate the circular economy. This is in stark contrast to the ICO of a brand new startup project.
All of these activities require a new type of professional, the token-based consultant, so we may see this trend in 2018.
12 regulation will become stricter
I am cautiously optimistic about this, and the US authorities will be relatively tolerant of blockchain startups so as not to hinder innovation.
But companies that neglect or simply deceive investors will be called to stop.
ICOs will have to comply with the KYC / AML policy and their solutions must be expanded.
If you look at the letter from the US Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Jay Clayton on December 12, you will know that his importance to encryption innovation is very clear, and he should be praised for this.
But he also began to pay attention to decentralized projects because he believed that ignoring the law was not a reasonable excuse.
I think this is a healthy balance.
If you think that 2017 is crazy, then be prepared to welcome more dramatic changes in 2018! The development momentum of the blockchain has just begun.
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